京津冀区域生态资产负债核算研究

开展生态资产负债核算研究对自然资源资产负债表编制具有重要意义。以京津冀13个地市为例,通过计算生态产品供给价值变化以及生态足迹、生态承载力和生态赤字来分析其生态资产负债变化情况。核算结果表明,2012年京津冀生态产品供给的期初价值为4686亿元,期末价值为4990亿元,当期增加340亿元。京津冀生态足迹和生态承载力分别为4451.06万hm2和1932.68万hm2,生态赤字为3167.8万hm2。生态赤字较大的城市分别是北京市、天津市、石家庄市和保定市,生态赤字较小的城市分别为秦皇岛市和承德市。北京市人口增长过快和资源消耗量过大是生态赤字的重要原因。京津冀区域在发展方面引起的生态资产变化,需要引起高度重视。     

生态补偿理论研究进展

生态补偿是生态经济学领域的一个研究热点,研究者、决策者和实践者都将生态补偿视为应对生态系统退化的有效政策工具。围绕生态补偿的定义、补偿客体、生态补偿主体、补偿标准和方式,学术界进行了大量研究,形成了市场交易、生态经济、税收补贴和社会制度等多种生态补偿理论框架。但是,由于这些理论存在不同程度的缺陷,在实践中难以避免挤出效应、外溢效应、交易费用高等问题,也不利于协调效率、效益和公平之间的关系。构建具有普遍适用性和可操作性的生态补偿理论框架,需要研究如何将生态服务纳入经济学的总供给和总需求分析模型,提出简便易行的生态服务价值综合评估方法,统一生态服务价值与经济领域价值计量的基础,从生态、经济和社会的综合维度研究针对不同生态服务补偿机制的有效尺度。     

“一带一路”绿色发展的战略实施框架

本研究认为推进实施绿色化"一带一路"战略是我国与沿线各国深化经济合作,展示负责任大国形象,规避环境风险,促进顺利实现"五通"的根本要求。同时,我国实施绿色化"一带一路"战略还面临着对外投资的环境管控制度不健全,"一带一路"沿线不少国家和地区生态环境脆弱,环境管理基础弱,以及沿线各国和地区发展阶段及环保诉求不同,区域合作平台与机制不完善等内外因素带来的挑战。本文结合我国实施"一带一路"战略的国际、国内形势研判,提出了推进"一带一路"绿色发展的战略框架,建议加快推进四项重点工作,包括强化绿色发展规划顶层设计,健全风险规制机制,构建对外投资行为调控机制,形成有效的"共通"保障机制。     

能源活动碳排放核算与减排政策选择

应对气候变化的科学基础是摸清区域碳排放基本状况,对碳排放现状的梳理是探索环境改善路径的依据。探索低碳发展路径的核心在于减排政策选择,同时也是实现可持续发展的条件保障。京津冀协同发展背景下区域环境保护及大气污染治理成为研究热点,河北省资源环境容量与经济增长之间的矛盾日益凸显,生态文明、可持续发展的要求促使探明环境现状,研究节能减排低碳发展的创新机制。摸清河北省碳排放基本现状,探明能源需求和碳排放的演变规律,对河北省探索低碳发展路径具有实践意义。本文基于河北省全域的数据资料和实地调查,核算了河北省下辖11个地级市能源活动引起的碳排放,分析了2005-2013年碳排放的时空演化规律,以情景分析方法为基础,预测了河北省到2030年的碳排放状况。认为:第一,能源活动的碳排放量从研究时间尺度上来看,始终保持增长的趋势,且2009年以后增长更为显著;从空间尺度上来看,唐山市的排放始终是全省最高。第二,基于情景分析对河北省能源活动的碳排放可能状况进行预测。基准情景是排放量最高的情景;低碳情景下2025年前后碳排放量基本稳定;强化低碳情景下设定2030年回到2005年的排放水平上,人均碳排放量始终保持下降,2030年将与全国2012年的人均排放平均水平相当。     

Development of a Concept for Non-monetary Assessment of Urban Ecosystem Services at the Site Level

Determining the performance of ecosystem services at the city or regional level cannot accurately take into account the fine differences between green or gray structures. The supply of regulating ecosystem services in, for instance, parks can differ as parks vary in their land cover composition. A comprehensive ecosystem service assessment approach also needs to reflect land use to consider the demands placed on ecosystem services, which are mostly neglected by current research yet important for urban planning. For instance, if a sealed surface is no longer used, it could be unsealed to improve ecosystem service supply. Because of these scientific shortcomings, this article argues for a conceptual framework for the non-monetary assessment of urban ecosystem services at the site scale. This paper introduces a standardized method for selecting representative sites and evaluating their supply of and demand on ecosystem services. The conceptual design is supplemented by examples of Salzburg, Austria.     

Identifying the potential of governance regimes to aggravate or mitigate local water conflicts in regions threatened by climate change

There is a need for specific knowledge of what people can do to mitigate harmful water conflicts. This need is evident in the rural dry tropics of Central America where people face climate change impacts, inefficient water management, and social tension. To address this need, we investigated why some local water conflicts escalated to violence and why other potential conflicts were avoided in Guanacaste Province, Costa Rica. We used interviews, focus groups, and a stakeholder workshop to analyse five cases. We found that violent actions only occurred when rural groups opposed government agencies in settings without mediating leadership. With one exception in a circumstance aggravated over many years, water users did not take violent action against competing water users. Distrust, which has been formed by legacies of ineffective rural stakeholder engagement, diminished the credibility of water-related information used in decision processes and thus prolonged conflicts. Active community-based groups respected by both rural constituencies and government agencies helped some people avoid difficult conflicts. Self-organised groups in other areas struggled to address disputes in settings with contested property rights, high socio-economic inequality, and low human capital. Using insights from Guanacaste, we outline practical conflict mitigation strategies fitted to a range of local water governance contexts found in rural Central America. Results suggest the need for incorporating certain types of peace-building processes in water management and development. The study provides a foundation for policy-makers, water managers, and other stakeholders to more effectively manage water disputes and avoid harmful conflicts in challenging regions.     

矿产资源资产负债表编制技术框架初探

矿产资源资产负债表编制技术框架的探讨对于推进我国不可再生资源资产负债表编制技术的形成、指导我国不可再生资源的科学开发并落实自然资源资产离任审计制度有着明确的实际意义。本文在国际通用的环境与经济综合核算体系的基础上,探索性的提出了矿产资源资产负债表的编制技术框架(以下简称框架)。该框架以实现国家矿产资源资产摸底和官员环境绩效评估为目标,函括了矿产资源资产负债表的编制原则,资产负债表的会计主体、会计要素、相关交易和事项的具体指向,资产负债表的实物量账户和价值量账户的内容和归类,矿产资源资产负债表的具体编制流程,以及矿产资源资产负债表示意等内容。具体而言:首先,本框架指出了矿产资源核算应坚持复式记账原则和权责发生制原则;其次,框架明确了会计主体为矿产资源的所有者(即政府),会计要素中的资产指的是由政府辖区控制的矿产资源,负债指的是政府开采矿产资源过程中从生态系统中"借"的其他自然资源(比如水资源、能源资源等)和生态服务(清洁的空气、水循环、气候调节等),这是本框架区别于传统国民经济核算的核心所在;再次,框架确立了矿产资源开采涉及的六大相关交易和事项,并据此设立了五类实物量账户和三类价值量账户,其中特别构建了集"生态系统服务"、"环境污染"和"资源消耗"三位于一体的"生态成本"和"生态负债"账户;最后,框架根据矿产资源开采的六大相关交易和事项,以及明确的以资产、负债与所有者权益为区分的会计账户,具体展示了矿产资源资产负债表的具体编制流程,并形成了最终的资产负债表示意。除此之外,本框架还提供了如何将实物类账户价值化的方法,特别提出了可用资源租金的净现值方法测度没有直接市场价格的非生产性资产的当前价值。该框架虽然是以矿产资源为研究对象,但其基本思路和技术也适用于其他不可再生资源的资产负债表编制。     

煤炭产业物质流核算的指标体系构建研究

循环经济落实到实处,不仅需要从技术端不断推进新技术在生产活动各领域的应用,更需要一个整体的资源和能源管理体系.物质流核算即是通过对国家、地区或产业的实物流的核算,理清资源和能源使用过程.通过针对循环经济发展较为成熟的煤炭产业进行物质流核算的指标体系构建,找到一些建立物质流核算体系的思路,并提出具体政策建议.     

Cost-Effective Mitigation of Diffuse Pollution: Setting Criteria for River Basin Management at Multiple Locations

A case study of the Yorkshire Derwent (UK) catchment is used to illustrate an integrated approach for assessing the viability of policy options for reducing diffuse nitrate losses to waterbodies. For a range of options, modeling methods for simulating river nitrate levels are combined with techniques for estimating the economic costs to agriculture of modifying those levels. By incorporating spatially explicit data and information on catchment residence times (which may span many decades particularly in areas of groundwater discharge) a method is developed for efficient spatial targeting of measures, for example, to the most at-risk freshwater environments. Combining hydrological and economic findings, the analysis reveals that, in terms of cost-effectiveness, the ranking of options is highly sensitive to both (i) whether or not specific stretches of river within a catchment are regarded as a priority for protection, and (ii) the criterion of nitrate concentration deemed most appropriate as an indicator of the health of the environment. Therefore, given the focus under European legislation upon ecological status of freshwaters, these conclusions highlight the need to improve understanding of mechanistic linkages between the chemical and biological dynamics of aquatic systems.     

关于建立工业园区统一规范碳核算方法体系的思考

工业园区是中国制造业发展的重要载体与做好碳达峰碳中和的关键支撑，建立统一规范的碳核算方法，是园区科学推进低碳发展的必要前提。本研究剖析了园区碳核算的复杂性，明确了园区“双碳”工作的核心要义，建立了“一芯四核”互馈式园区碳核算方法框架。该框架主要包括应用目标与范围定义、流分析与排放清单建立、碳排放计算、结果解释与决策支撑四个核心环节，四“核”间相互作用、迭代优化，根据园区发展实际进行具象化，并充分考虑向上与所在行政区域碳核算清单、向下与企业碳排放核算兼容，最终服务于准确把握低碳发展内涵、锻造新的产业竞争优势这一关键内“芯”。进一步地，研究阐述了“一芯四核”方法框架各主要步骤，分析了园区碳核算实践中面临的园区边界、核算范围、清单建立、数据质量等方面的难点，提出了基于检验清单的各环节工作原则、操作步骤及注意事项。研究为“千园千面”的工业园区提供了科学统一的碳核算理论框架，可为工业园区在低碳转型中锻造新的产业竞争优势提供决策支撑，为建立统一规范碳排放统计核算体系奠定方法基础。