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21.
RODERICK SHAW 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》1997,46(1-2):113-133
Although interdisciplinary collaboration to address a singleenvironmental problem is more common than in the past, all toooften the significant atmospheric problems of our day such asstratospheric ozone depletion, acidic deposition or climaticchange are addressed on a single issue basis. Systems analysis isa way of looking at a problem in a holistic, integrated fashionthrough including as many as practicable of the importantcomponents, and the linkages among them. Systems analysisoften begins with a conceptual model which, even if lackingquantification, is a useful means of changing ones thinking to amulti-issue approach. If possible, conceptual models areoperationalized by quantification (using the best availablescientific knowledge) of the stocks and flows of the relevantcomponents of the problem, and the processes that are involved.In this paper, a systems approach to food production is used tolink various atmospheric issues such as regional acidification andclimatic change. A spreadsheet model of food demand andproduction in various world regions examined the possible effectof atmospheric change on how much food we can grow, andwhether or not we may be able to meet the increased demand inthe year 2025. Using relatively modest changes in factors ofagricultural production, the spreadsheet model calculated globalshortfalls by the year 2025 of the order of 10 to 20% in someimportant agricultural crops, despite the improvements in cropproduction factors that are envisaged by the Food andAgricultural Organization from now until the year 2010, and thatwere extrapolated in this paper to 2025. The model alsocalculated that climatic change in combination with eithertropospheric ozone or increased UV-B radiation caused bydepletion of the stratospheric ozone layer may in general makethe situation worse than in the case of climatic change alone.Given the large uncertainties in the input data, the results in thispaper should not be viewed as predictions but rather as anexample of taking a relatively simple systems approach to foodproduction using a spreadsheet model, and calculating the effectsthat various aspects of atmospheric change might have upon it.Therefore, it is extremely important to know the effects uponcrop production factors of climatic change, tropospheric ozoneand increased UV-B radiation not only as individual issues, butalso of their combined effect since it is probable that in manyregions they will occur in combination. 相似文献
22.
本文利用30年的气候资料分析了乌鲁木齐冬季光气候与大气混浊度之间的关系,指出了大气混浊度的增加是造成辐射总照度下降的主要原因. 相似文献
23.
Alexander Baklanov 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2000,65(1-2):181-189
Different urban air pollution problems deal with complex structure of air flows and turbulence. For such problems the Computer Fluid Dynamics (CFD) methods become widely used. However, this approach despite a number of advantages has some problems. Experience of use of CFD tools for development of models and suggestions of their applications for a local scale air pollution over a complex terrain and stable stratification are discussed in this paper, including: Topography and complex geometry: choose of the co-ordinate system and computer grid; Turbulence closure for air pollution modelling: modified k- model for stable stratified ABL; Boundary conditions for vertical profiles of velocity for stable-stratified atmosphere; Effects of the radiation and thermal budget of inclined surfaces to dispersion of pollutants; Artificial sources of air dynamics and circulation.Some examples of CFD applications for air pollution modelling for a flat terrain, mountainous area, mining open cast and indoor ventilation are discussed. Modified k- model for stably-stratified ABL is suggested. Due to the isotropic character of the k- model a combination of it in vertical with the sub-grid turbulence closure in horizontal can be more suitable for ABL. An effective scheme of boundary conditions for velocity profiles, based on the developed similarity theory for stable-stratified ABL, is suggested. Alongside with the common studies of atmospheric dispersion, the CFD methods have also demonstrated a good potential for studying anthropogenic and artificial-ventilation sources of air dynamic and circulation in local-scale processes of air pollution. 相似文献
24.
利用一个三维非静力区域大气化学输送模式与中尺度气象模式MM5相连接构成一个数值模拟系统,模拟了中国地区对流层臭氧与其前体物的分布以及二氧化硫转化为硫酸盐的过程,模式扬地面源排放、大气输送和扩散、干沉积、气相化学反应和云雨过程。结果表明:日间,O3浓度主要由NOx和NMHC的源排放和光化学反应过程支配,大气辐射是光化学反应强弱的决定因子,其强度可使SO2、O3和SO4^2-的生成浓度呈现不同的日变化和季节变化,结果表明高浓度的O3对二氧化硫转化为硫酸盐的化学过程有很大的促进作用,然而,这种作用受NMHC浓度的影响很大,较高浓度的NMHC使O3浓度上升,但同时增加了对OH等自由基的消耗,使SO2的转化率降低。 相似文献
25.
对熏烟扩散模式应用的探讨 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
工程上应用的大气污染物扩散模式中 ,熏烟模式由于其非定常性而与其他扩散模式有很大的区别。正确处理模式中各参数及变量的相互关系才能客观地反映污染物对环境影响的结果。本研究通过对熏烟模式的非定常性和各参数、变量相互关系的分析 ,提出了正确使用该模式的方法 相似文献
26.
Effects of atmospheric mercury pollution on terrestrial ecosystem in Chongqing, China 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
1 IntroductionMercury(Hg)asaglobalpollutanthascausedconcernworldwidesincetheendof 1980s.Itisemittedtotheatmospherefrombothanthropogenicandnaturalsources.Importantsourceoftheformeristhedischargefrom productionanduseofHgaswellasthecombustionoffossilfuels(Nri… 相似文献
27.
28.
Atmospheric particulate pollution of Lanzhou using magnetic measurements 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
1 IntroductionAtmosphericparticulateisoneofthemainatmosphericpollutantsinChina.Itmaybeharmfulitselfandcanactasacarrieroftoxicmatterswhichmayhaveremarkableimpactsonhumanhealthandatmosphericenvironmentquality.Combustionofcoal,whichstillservesasprimarye… 相似文献
29.
30.
港口煤炭码头大气降尘与总量控制 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
提出了煤炭港口煤尘污染总量控制的方法 ,论证了港口大气降尘与煤尘污染的关系。运用平均数控制图的原理 ,解决控制港口煤尘污染的问题。 相似文献