集成DEMATEL-ISM的古建筑火灾致因因素评价

为深入了解古建筑火灾事故致因因素,提高古建筑消防安全管理水平,基于事故致因理论,采用德尔菲法从人员、古建筑消防系统、古建筑防火能力、安全管理与环境五个方面确定18个古建筑火灾致因因素,并建立古建筑火灾事故评价指标体系。同时运用实验室决策分析法(DEMATEL)构建矩阵对古建筑火灾致因因素进行分析。一方面,通过原因度定量结果对古建筑火灾致因因素的属性进行分类,确定其属于火灾原因因素还是结果因素;另一方面,通过中心度指标评价古建筑火灾各个致因因素的重要程度。进而利用解释结构模型(ISM)将致因因素进行层级划分,构建5层3阶的多级递阶模型,分析致因因素间的耦合和交互关系。结果表明,古建筑火灾事故的发生是近邻原因、过渡原因及本质原因共同作用的结果,并针对这三方面确定古建筑火灾事故重点管控方向。同时,在古建筑消防安全管理中,应重点关注中心度较大的致因因素。     

古城旅游地旅游影响的居民感知研究——以黄山市歙县徽州古城为例

古城旅游地是独具中国传统魅力的重要旅游目的地，而古城居民是古城生命力之所在。以黄山市歙县徽州古城为案例地，运用因子分析法，提取了古城居民感知的3个积极影响公因子和2个消极影响公因子，通过均值的比较，分析了居民对旅游影响的总体感知与态度。在此基础上，采用Bonferroni多变量协方差分析法（MNOVA）进一步分析不同细分居民群体对旅游影响感知的差异，展望了未来居民利益诉求的转变方向，以期为政府部门、旅游管理部门、旅游规划部门提供有益参考，促进古城旅游业的可持续发展。     

黄河故道资源的开发利用

叙述了黄河故道地区的基本情况及实施农业资源综合开发的必要性。从总体技术方向、技术应用原则、技术进步目标、适用模式诸方面提出了黄河故道地区资源开发利用的7种技术模式。     

Using a process-based model to understand dynamics of Chinese agricultural and water technology development from 8000 bc to 1911 ad

Advancements in technology are inextricably bound to our society and the natural environment. However, how the development process of a technology system interacts with both remains unclear. We propose a process model to understand the complex dynamics among technology, society, and the environment via seven interactive elements: technologies, actors, receiving bodies, natural contexts, social contexts, temporal–spatial contexts, and outcomes. The model was applied to agricultural and water technology development in China from 8000 bc to 1911 ad. Our findings show that these elements did not play equally important roles in different periods of the development in ancient China, with social contexts most dominating during the earlier periods and both social and environmental concerns arising towards the later periods. The proposed model, by identifying the elements in the technology development that should be strengthened, can act as an analysis device to assist in reconfiguring a more sustainable socio-technological system.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s13280-020-01424-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

城市河流栖息地评价方法与应用

维持河流生物完整性必须要有良好的栖息地条件.城市河流栖息地评价是城市河流治理和管理的前提和基础.城市河流栖息地评价基准与城市河流栖息地特征密切关联.基于可拓学物元概念和其发散性特征,以及前人的研究,建立了包含水质、形态结构、水动力和水生生物4个类别要素的适应于城市河流健康修复实践的栖息地质量评价指标体系,同时,结合层次分析法建立了多级可拓物元评价模型,并在评价过程中引入可拓学诊断方法以确定影响栖息地质量的关键因子.将以上方法应用于镇江市古运河,结合古运河修复目标和现状条件建立了相应的指标评价标准.经过1a多时间的野外调查,在古运河上选择6个500m长特征河段,分别对其栖息地、要素质量进行比较评价.结果表明,古运河整体栖息地及水质、水动力和水生生物质量均较差;诊断分析表明,水动力和水质为影响栖息地质量的主要因素,水质污染指数、透明度、流量满足率和纵向连续性为影响古运河栖息地质量的主要因子,并根据评价结果对古运河栖息地修复提出了建议.     

黄龙溪古镇旅游开发与再造

黄龙溪古镇具有川西民居的典型风格,开发已初具规模,但是在开发过程中未体现出古镇应有的古朴典雅的氛围和气息。通过提出一些实质性的对策建议——硬软件并重、挖掘“古”与“水”,以期解决当地居民的实际困难和问题,把黄龙溪打造成为四川名副其实的著名旅游古镇。     

Atlantic sturgeons (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Acipenser sturio</Emphasis>, <Emphasis Type="Italic">Acipenser oxyrinchus</Emphasis>): American females successful in Europe

Recent molecular data on the maternally inherited mitochondrial (mt) DNA have challenged the traditional view that the now extinct Baltic sturgeon population belonged to the European sturgeon Acipenser sturio. Instead, there is evidence that American sea sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus historically immigrated into the Baltic Sea. In this study, we test the hypothesis that A. oxyrinchus introgressed into, rather than replaced, the A. sturio population in the Baltic. We established four single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the nuclear MHC II antigen gene with a species-specific SNP pattern. Using an ancient DNA approach and two independent lines of molecular evidence (sequencing of allele-specific clones, SNaPshot), we detected both A. sturio and A. oxyrinchus alleles in the available museum material of the now extinct Baltic sturgeon population. The hybrid nature of the Baltic population was further confirmed by very high levels of heterozygosity. It had been previously postulated that the immigration of the cold-adapted A. oxyrinchus into the Baltic occurred during the Medieval Little Ice Age, when temperature likely dropped below the degree inducing spawning in A. sturio. Under this scenario, our new findings suggest that the genetic mosaic pattern in the Baltic sturgeon population (oxyrinchus mtDNA, sturio and oxyrinchus MHC alleles) is possibly caused by sex-biased introgression where spawning was largely restricted to immigrating American females, while fertilization was predominantly achieved by abundant local European males. The hybrid nature of the former Baltic sturgeon population should be taken into account in the current reintroduction measures. Electronic supplementary material  Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at and is accessible for authorized users.     

名胜古迹的环境岩土工程研究

从环境岩土工程角度分析了名胜古迹的破坏原因和特点，提出了相应的保护和治理措施．     

New approaches to study the preservation of biopolymers in fossil bones

Tissues of living organisms are usually rapidly degraded after death. Nonetheless, the shape of organisms can sometimes be preserved under specific palaeoconditions. So far, biopolymers have rarely been found to be preserved in fossils. Here we show that not only DNA but also lipids are preserved in 500,000 year-old fossil bones, thus providing information on their biological source. Moreover, we suggest that lipid preservation follows similar mechanisms as DNA preservation, since fatty acids and DNA were found preserved in fossils in a mineral matrix associated form.An erratum to this article can be found at     

自然遗迹类保护区有关分类问题的探讨

自然遗迹具有历史性、多样性和多层次性、作为研究对象的多学科属性以及由此派生的成因多解性等特点。探讨自然遗迹类保护区的有关分类问题:①古人类化石及活动遗迹兼为“地质遗迹”和“古文物”的双重属性,导致自然保护区与文物保护单位之间的交叉,按溯及既往原则提出供比较选择的处理方案;②自然遗迹类保护区在以生物多样性为中心的自然保护区分类中的地位,强调古、今生物的历史渊源关系和地质遗迹的宏观背景意义;③自然遗迹的“生命周期”现象对于自然遗迹类保护区分类和管理的意义。对续建古生物遗迹类型保护区的具体建议。