对环境税的一般均衡分析与应用模式探讨

中国的环境污染问题伴随着经济的发展而日趋严重．因此环境问题也成为了我国CGE模型开发者关注的一个焦点。本文利用一个可计算的一般均衡模型模拟了税收改革政策对生产、消费和政府收入所产生的一系列影响。仿真结果说明了对不周行业根据污染的强度不同的税率按产值征税．可以在控制污染行业产量．保护环境的同时．促进整体税制改革，减轻企业的所得税负担和居民的纳税负担。增加政府收入．从数字上说明环境税的“双盈”效应假说是可行的。     

环境意识对环境与发展综合决策的影响

环境意识对提高环境与发展综合决策水平有很大作用。环境意识高低与综合决策的水平有很大联系。对环境意识的形成、其对综合决策的影响作用以及如何提高环境意识、促进综合决策发展做了研究。     

跨湖桥独木舟遗址区地下水渗流场模拟研究

独木舟遗址位于浙江省萧山区,是浙江省迄今为止发现最早的新石器时代文化遗存。现场踏勘发现,破坏遗址原址保护主要环境地质病害是水的问题。通过对该遗址区水文地质条件的分析,建立了遗址区水文地质概念模型和数学模型;运用地下水数值模拟软件Modflow模拟遗址区原始地下水分布;将模拟区地形图与模型模拟结果进行比较,发现它们具极大的相似性,这说明模拟的结果是符合实际情况的。     

Control system approaches to ecological systems analysis: Invariants and frequency response

The steady-state assumption is a mainstay for the analysis of ecological systems with more than three or four states. However, it is well accepted in ecology that inputs to large systems come in pulses assumed to have a reasonably constant magnitude and frequency. Steady pulse inputs and the use of electro-chemical–mechanical control systems methodology enables limited short term dynamic responses of ecological systems of a scale often occurring in systems of potential engineering importance to be analyzed. This paper explores and presents a survey of multi-input–multi-output (MIMO) control systems analysis of ecosystem network models to better understand pulse frequency issues and further develop experimentally verifiable approaches to testing the MIMO concept. The analysis process is demonstrated using two network model exemplars. Two aspects of MIMO analyses appear relevant to understanding ecological systems: (1) Eigenvalue invariant analyses and singular value decomposition (SVD) analyses enable assessment of stability and relative strength of states. Eigenvalues reflect time constants and provide a check on experimentally determined system matrices. (2) Analysis of SVD versus frequency for each output indicates maximum pulse frequencies that allow system components to benefit from pulsing. As a group, MIMO analyses complement other analytical methods and provide a theoretical systems focus convenient for analyzing ecosystems from an engineering perspective.     

Implications of network particle tracking (NPT) for ecological model interpretation

Network particle tracking (NPT), building on the foundation of network environ analysis (NEA), is a new development in the definition of coherence relations within and between connected systems. This paper evaluates three ecosystem models in a comparison of throughflow- and storage-based NEA and NPT. Compartments in models with high indirect effects and Finn cycling showed low correlation of NEA storage and throughflow with particle repeat visits and numbers of particles in compartments at steady state. Conversely, the correlation between NEA and NPT results was high with two models having lower indirect effects and Finn cycling. Analysis of ecological orientors associated with NEA showed NPT to fully support conventional NEA results when the common conditions of donor control and steady state are satisfied. Particle trajectories are recorded in the new concept of a particle “passport”. Ability to track and record particle in-system histories enables views of multiple scales and opens the possibility of making pathway-dependent modeling decisions. NPT may also enable modeling of time, allowing integration of Newtonian, organismal and stochastic modeling perspectives in a single comprehensive analysis.     

一种改进的模糊聚类方法在大气环境质量评价中的应用

一般的模糊聚类分析方法只能解决大气污染状况的顺序问题,或只能得出此地与彼地的大气质量状况的相似程度,而不能同时确定大气质量的具体等级。本文提出的一种改进的模糊聚类分析方法解决了这一问题、该方法的主要改进在于:①以各污染因子的污染程度的分级标准值为聚类中心,待分样本与聚类中心之间的相似系数或待分样本隶属于某一类的隶属函数作为聚类函数;②相似系数设计为几何平均最小型,隶属函数设计为正态分布型。实例计算和比较表明,该方法是大气环境质量评价中的一种较好的方法。     

岷—沱江汞环境背景值研究

本文介绍了用冷原子荧光法测定岷—沱江原水(总汞)、过滤水(溶解性汞)、悬浮物(悬浮态汞)及沉积物中汞含量。方法检测限为0.004μg/l。经选用W检验、Vistelius置信带法和偏度、峰度法联合进行汞含量分布类型检验,综合判断、研究得出岷—沱江水系河水中汞背景值(总量)为0.25μg/l,汞主要以溶解态存在于水体中,沉积物中汞背景值为0.018mg/kg。岷—沱江水系汞背景值无论与国内各水系还是同世界河流水平相比,均处于相同和较低水平。     

旅游活动对风景区地被植物-土壤环境影响的初步研究

以安徽采石风景区为研究对象,建立了旅游活动对风景区地被植物-土壤环境影响模型,观察分析旅游活动对地被植物、土壤的外部形态,种群的高度、丰度、密度,土壤理化性状等影响；引入风景区旅游生态环境容量概念,据此提出风景区生态环境管理对策     

环境中邻苯二甲酸丁苄酯的雌激素生物活性

为明确邻苯二甲酸丁基苄酯在环境中雌激素效应，采用体内小鼠子宫增重方法，检测出其雌激素活性，结果表明：低剂量下的BBP无雌激素活性，剂量为8uL(8.96mg)时，小鼠子宫增重比较明显，显示出了雌激素活性，但当剂量增大到16uL(17.92mg)、32uL(35．84mg)时，小鼠子宫增重非常明显，增大的程度近乎于1ug雌二醇，特别是当剂量为64uL(71．68mg)时，其子宫增大的程度却超过了雌二醉。试验结果充分表明：BBP在外似非常安全的剂量下具有显性的雌激素活性。