High-resolution spatial distribution of greenhouse gas emissions in the residential sector

The development of high-resolution greenhouse gas (GHG) inventories is an important step towards emission reduction in different sectors. However, most of the spatially explicit approaches that have been developed to date produce outputs at a coarse resolution or do not disaggregate the data by sector. In this study, we present a methodology for assessing GHG emissions from the residential sector by settlements at a fine spatial resolution. In many countries, statistical data about fossil fuel consumption is only available at the regional or country levels. For this reason, we assess energy demand for cooking and water and space heating for each settlement, which we use as a proxy to disaggregate regional fossil fuel consumption data. As energy demand for space heating depends heavily on climatic conditions, we use the heating degree day method to account for this phenomenon. We also take the availability of energy sources and differences in consumption patterns between urban and rural areas into account. Based on the disaggregated data, we assess GHG emissions at the settlement level using country and regional specific coefficients for Poland and Ukraine, two neighboring countries with different energy usage patterns. In addition, we estimate uncertainties in the results using a Monte Carlo method, which takes uncertainties in the statistical data, calorific values, and emission factors into account. We use detailed data on natural gas consumption in Poland and biomass consumption for several regions in Ukraine to validate our approach. We also compare our results to data from the EDGAR (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research), which shows high agreement in places but also demonstrates the advantage of a higher resolution GHG inventory. Overall, the results show that the approach developed here is universal and can be applied to other countries using their statistical information.

     

厦门春季气溶胶特征初探

1993年春季对厦门市大气气溶胶进行了研究,其中包括对3种不同粒径的气溶胶质量浓度?气溶胶元素浓度?气溶胶离子浓度?气溶胶酸度和酸化缓冲能力的研究?结果表明:厦门大气气溶胶质量浓度接近于国家一级标准,细粒子的气溶胶的贡献较高;气溶胶中元素含量较高的为Ca,Al,Fe和S等;在厦门地区气溶胶中NH+₄和SO2-₄主要分布在细粒子中,Ca2+和Mg2+则多分布在粗粒子中,并且其值远小于华南地区;气溶胶中细粒子的酸性大于粗粒子,且酸化缓冲能力远低于粗粒子。      

Environmental performance and practice across sectors: methodology and preliminary results

This paper introduces a new methodology for measuring and modeling manufacturers’ environmental performance and the managerial and technological practices that affect it. Facility level licensing data are used to develop indicators based on sector-specific criteria but capable of being analyzed across sectors, at various levels of aggregation. This addresses the problem that environmental performance and determinants tend to be highly context-specific, while modeling and policy interests are often more general. Using Integrated Pollution Control (IPC) information generated EU-wide, this approach should be capable of cross-country extension. The methodology is tested on a sample of Irish facilities in three sectors during 1996–2004. Preliminary results show its usefulness in exploring the determinants of environmental performance at the sector and cross sector levels. Word count = 10,049.     

金属体积成形过程有限元模拟中六面体网格重划技术的研究

针对金属体积成形过程有限元模拟中的网格重划问题 ,提出了基于边界构形的有限元网格重划技术 ,并对其中的一系列技术处理进行了详尽的讨论。将该技术应用于矩形块体镦粗过程的有限元模拟中 ,较好地解决了六面体网格重划问题。     

保守性离子在包气带层状土中运移规律研究

为研究溶质在多层层状包气带土中运移规律,选取5种颗粒配比不同的土样填装成由粗及细和由细及粗两分层顺序相反的土柱,通过室内试验研究保守性Br-在两种不同结构层状土中基本运移规律。研究得出:当土体表层遭受浓度为200 g/L Na Br一次性污染,在15 mm/12 h降雨强度下,Br-在第1、2层土体浓度经历快速上升段、峰值段、下降段3个阶段变化,第3、4、5层土体浓度经历上升段、平稳下降段。试验结束时,Br-在由粗及细的土柱中分布较均匀,在由细及粗的土柱中集中在表层;溶质穿透整个土柱的时间,由粗及细结构比由细及粗结构提前96 h。结果表明,在截污性能和延缓溶质向地下水补给方面,由细及粗结构均要优于由粗及细的结构。     

三维有限元模拟中的网格重划

详细论述了网格重划技术的判断准则、新旧网格之间场量传递等 ,提出了两种进行包含测试的新方法交点判断法和矢量判断法 ,并成功地应用于新旧网格之间三维场量的传递。实例应用验证了该方法的正确性和有效性。     

Mapping of environmental and technological performance of food and beverage sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina

The objective of this paper is to discuss the mapping methodology implemented in the selection of BAT candidates and to present the results of the mapping of B&H food and beverage sector, prepared as a baseline for the development of national reference documents on Best Available Techniques. The subsectors subject to analysis were: dairy, fish farming, fish processing, fruit and vegetable processing, meat processing, breweries, and slaughterhouses.The sector was mapped from several aspects, including socio-economic, legal, and environmental point of view. The socio-economic aspect focused on understanding the sector’s structure and financial capabilities, pricing for water, energy, and solid waste consumption, as well as employee profiles, in order to better assess the sustainability of decisions taken. Legal mapping focused on relevant regulations, including policies from the following sectors: environment, water use and protection, food safety, agriculture, and veterinary, in order to determine legal requirements from an environmental protection aspect set in the various sector policies. Environmental performance indicators were calculated in order to assess present resource efficiencies and relevant environmental impacts. In addition, the mapping process also addressed the existing level of BAT implementation in the subsectors under consideration.The paper presents a rationale for methodology selection, offers a review of the mapping methodology used, discusses mapping results and provides conclusions in regards to that methodology used and discusses issues that need to be considered in the selection of BAT candidates.     

基于生产和消费视角的辽宁省行业能源消费碳排放

行业能源消费碳排放核算是碳减排政策制订的基础,从消费视角进行行业碳排放研究日趋重要. 基于经济投入产出生命周期评价模型,从生产和消费视角解析了辽宁省2007年行业能源消费碳排放分布规律. 结果表明:生产视角碳排放量行业集中度高,该视角碳排放总量的78.73%集中在电力、热力的生产和供应业,金属冶炼及压延加工业,非金属矿物制品业以及交通运输、仓储及邮政业;为其他行业提供产品和服务是造成行业生产端碳排放的主要原因;消费视角下行业碳排放总量的53.79%集中在金属冶炼及压延加工业,建筑业,电力、热力的生产和供应业以及其他行业;上游供应行业的间接碳排放是造成消费端排放的主体.从碳排放强度来看,生产视角下各行业碳排放强度差异性较大,电力、热力的生产和供应业的碳排放强度最大,为9.17 t/万元;消费视角下行业之间的碳排放强度差异性较小,均低于3 t/万元. 最后针对不同视角下分析结果的差异性提出了相应对策的侧重点.      

北京市冬季气象要素对气溶胶浓度日变化的影响

对2004年1月1—15日北京气溶胶浓度与相对湿度、气压、风速、风向等气象要素的平均日变化进行分析,结果表明:北京冬季ρ(PM₁₀₎日变化明显,受气象要素的日变化影响. ρ(PM₁₀₎与相对湿度和气压呈正相关性;风速对ρ(PM₁₀)的日变化影响明显,09:00—18:00风速和ρ(PM₁₀₎变化趋势一致,呈正相关性,其他时间则呈负相关性; 风向对粗、细粒子的数浓度影响不同,细粒子数浓度在偏东风时大,西、西南风时小,而粗粒子则相反;粗、细粒子的数浓度日变化受气象要素的影响程度不同,相对于粗粒子,细粒子数浓度更易受气象要素日变化的影响.      

Climate change adaptation and mitigation: next steps for cross-sectoral action to protect global health

Effectively addressing the health risks of climate change necessitates an active crosssectoral approach because health risks arise predominantly via sectors such as water, agriculture and energy. Much has been written on climate change and its impact on health, but little attention has focused on the realpolitik of how to progress the development and implementation of health-relevant strategies and policies to reduce this impact. The objective of this paper is to propose three solutions to address current deficiencies: i) strengthening the capacity and understanding of health officials in relation to climate change and health; ii) improving cross-sectoral partnerships with sectors relevant to climate change and health, and iii) identifying organisations influential in the development of climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies and policies, with a view to better target advocacy efforts. Practical examples of each solution are provided. In conclusion, as a steward of public health, the health sector must take the initiative to encourage a cross-sectoral approach that includes capacity development, coupled with an understanding of influential organisations. If this is done effectively, health, social and economic development goals can be reached more efficiently.     

The state of ISO 14001 certification in Greece

Consideration is given to the evaluation of the present state of ISO 14001 implementation, as determined by the penetration of certifications and of certification agencies within industries in Greece. After identifying nearly all certified enterprises by the end of year 2004, a large cluster of 153 enterprises (circa 80.5% of all certifications), for which published information was available, are analysed. The data used concern both individual enterprises and demographic averages for respective industrial activities (determined by industry and sector). Analysis reveals ISO 14001 to be mainly accepted in manufacture, with both services and commerce to seriously lag behind. Analysis by sector, a more detailed activity indicator, shows marked ISO 14001 penetration differences between sectors, suggesting the influence of activity-related practices as a major certification driver. Evidence is also provided for the existence of a sector-related certification culture associating ISO 14001 certification decisions with ISO 9000 sector penetration levels. In addition, relatively larger enterprises, but not necessarily more profitable, seem to seek ISO 14001 certification in most sectors. Finally, analyses of all main certification agencies identified in Greece demonstrate that, with one exception, the choice of agency is mostly independent of industrial activity as well as certified enterprise size and profitability.     

The potential of water markets to allocate water between industry,agriculture, and public water utilities as an adaptation mechanism to climate change

One of the climate change scenarios that have been developed for the Netherlands predicts hotter and drier summers and a substantial drop in river discharge. This might lead to water scarcity with detrimental economic and environmental effects. Among the possible adaptation responses to climate change-induced water scarcity, the re-allocation of water resources among competing uses should also be considered. In this paper, we extend and apply a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the potential of water markets (water allocation according to its shadow price) to guide the allocation of scarce water across agriculture, manufacturing, and public water supply. We develop four scenarios in which the scope of water markets is increased from industry-specific to economy-wide. The results show that the agricultural sector bears nearly all of the losses from a new water-scarce climate, while the manufacturing sectors are able to mitigate their losses to a large extent by technical measures. Extending the scope of water markets unambiguously increases economic output and results in a re-allocation of water to the manufacturing sector from the agricultural sector and from public water services. If, perhaps for political reasons, public water services are excluded from water trading, water is re-allocated from agriculture to manufacturing. Depending on which sectors are included, the construction of a water market can have negative or positive effects on a sector’s output, and although the implementation of water markets may be positive for overall economic output and can hence assist adaptation, the effect on vulnerable or societally sensitive economic sectors, such as public water, should be taken into account when implementing such a market.     

江苏启东嘴潮滩敏感粒度组分及环境意义

敏感粒度组分是研究沉积环境变化的重要方法之一。江苏启东嘴潮滩位于江苏海岸与长江岸线交汇处,陆海相互作用强烈;随着社会经济的快速发展,受人类活动的影响也越来越大。在对4个岩芯沉积物进行粒度分析的基础上,应用粒级-标准偏差的方法提取环境敏感粒度组分。结果表明:（1）对环境变化敏感的细组分与粗组分具有明显的负相关关系,岩芯QDZ-1、QDZ-2和QDZ-3中<22 μm、<26 μm、<22 μm的细组分的含量由下向上逐渐增加,符合粉砂淤泥质潮滩下粗上细的沉积规律。（2）在流域强降雨引发的洪水和风暴潮等极端环境的影响下,导致粗组分的含量突然增加。岩芯QDZ-1、QDZ-2和QDZ-3中>22 μm、>26 μm、>22 μm的粗组分,在深度172.5 cm、242.5 cm、142.5 cm处分别剧增至84%、85%和80%。（3）在人类活动的影响下,细组分比粗组分更容易淋失,进而导致岩芯出现粗化趋势。QDZ-2在剖面上部A段>26 μm的粗组分呈增加趋势,是因为受到轮作翻种的农业生产活动和雨水淋溶作用的共同影响。岩芯QDZ-3在剖面上部A段22 μm～88 μm、>88 μm的粗组分和岩芯QDZ-4剖面>63 μm的粗组分呈增加趋势,原因是围垦建堤使原有的水动力得以增加,进而在高能环境下粗颗粒物质能够沉积。     

北京大气气溶胶表面无机组分的静态飞行时间二次离子质谱研究

采用特定的样品处理方式,利用静态飞行时间二次离子质谱(Static-TOF-SIMS)技术,对使用通用型大气污染物采样仪VAPS(URG-3000K)采集于非导电性的滤膜(聚碳酸酯滤膜)上的大气气溶胶细粒子(PM_2.5)与粗粒子(PM_2.5～10)的表面无机组分进行了探索性的比较分析.结果表明:大气气溶胶细粒子与粗粒子的表面无机组分组成特征具有明显的差异;气溶胶细粒子表面存在着大气中二次形成的亲水性化合物,会对其表面的疏水性/亲水性特征产生影响,从而影响其大气化学行为;气溶胶粗粒子表面存在氟化物,对生态环境和人体健康具有潜在的危害性,应该重视对气溶胶中氟污染的研究与控制;静态飞行时间二次离子质谱可以成为研究大气气溶胶表面化学组成特征的有利分析手段.      

淘汰落后产能政策对我国重点工业行业二噁英类减排的影响

淘汰落后产能可以显著降低由工业热过程排放的非故意产生类持久性有机物染物.对该类政策带来的二噁英类污染物减排进行估算可以客观评价我国在履行《关于持久性有机污染物的斯德哥尔摩公约》所做出的努力和贡献.作者曾对2006~2010年间淘汰落后产能政策的减排影响作过分析,本研究拟在此基础上根据我国2010~2013年关停的落后产能情况,估算得出电力行业、焦炭行业和钢铁行业(含铁合金)由于关闭落后产能累计带来的二噁英类向大气减排(以I-TEQ计,下同)分别约86.13、133.94和78.78 g·a-1.除了上述提到的重点工业部门,关闭落后产能涉及到的水泥、电石、金属冶炼、造纸等行业也会由于政策的实施而减少二噁英类的排放,该研究为以后进行全面评估提供了思路和方法支持.     

中国四城市空气中粗细颗粒物元素组成特征

采集280多个来自中国4城市粗细颗粒物样品,用X一荧光光谱法分析了其中的42种元素报道了空气颗粒物中元素的组成特征,并对元素进行聚类分析,结果表明,主要可分成地壳元素及燃煤或燃油污染元素两大类污染点颗粒物中污染元素的浓度比对照点的要高,而且,这些污染元素在细颗粒物中的富集因子比在粗颗粒物中的富集因子要高出许多倍但城市内污染元素的富集团子在污染点与对照点之间的差别不如同一种元素在两城市间的差别明显     

基于重点行业/领域的我国碳排放达峰路径研究

开展碳排放达峰路径研究,明确时间表、路线图、施工图,是支撑我国实现2030年前碳达峰目标的基础性研究工作. 本文采取自上而下和自下而上相结合的方式,以满足社会经济高质量稳定发展需求和国家碳达峰碳中和双重目标为约束开展自上而下的宏观路径研究;以合计贡献了我国碳排放(不含港澳台地区数据) 90%以上的电力、钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼、石化化工、煤化工共6个重点行业以及建筑、交通2个重点领域为对象,开展自下而上的重点行业/领域碳达峰路径研究;通过上下路径反复迭代、行业间耦合优化,打通宏观路径与微观措施的联动和双向反馈,最终形成基于重点行业/领域的我国碳达峰路径. 结果表明:为实现国家碳达峰、碳中和的目标愿景,需抓紧部署、大力推进包括清洁能源降碳、能效提升降碳、资源循环降碳、管理调控降碳等4类关键举措,方可实现我国碳排放量在2030年前达峰的目标,峰值较2020年增加5.0×108~7.0×108 t左右,达峰后将保持3~4年的峰值平台期. 受需求与技术驱动,不同领域碳排放总量将梯次实现达峰,其中工业领域（含钢铁、水泥、铝冶炼、石化化工、煤化工共5个重点行业）预计将在“十四五”期间整体达峰,达峰后碳排放稳定下降;电力行业和交通、建筑领域碳排放均在2030年左右实现达峰. 经测算,2021—2030年间,为推动碳达峰采取的4类关键措施预计需投入2.08×1013元;其中清洁能源降碳是最为有效的措施,同时也是成本最高的措施. 为保障关键举措顺利落地,建议全面加大政策创新,逐步形成系统完善的碳总量控制与交易市场机制、绿色低碳标准体系、行业准入及产业结构政策体系、价格财税及投融资机制等. 本研究分行业及领域的碳达峰路径研究成果及所识别的关键控碳减碳技术手段、措施和政策将为国家碳达峰路径设计提供技术支撑.      

上海市能源消费CO2排放清单与碳流通图

基于上海市能源统计数据,参照IPCC(2006)方法,测算了上海市能源CO2排放清单,并绘制了2007年上海市碳流通图.结果表明,上海市能源相关的CO2排放总量从1995年的1.10亿t增长到2007年的2.01亿t,期间年均增长率为5.0%.其中“交通”对应的CO2排放量增长最为迅速,年均增长率达15.1%;而“热电厂”的CO2排放量增幅逐渐变缓,其原因为近年上海市外来电力比重增大.2007年“热电厂”、“工业与建筑业”、“交通”、“商业”、“居民生活”与“农业”各部分CO2排放分担率分别为35.4%、34.4%、23.8%、4.0%、2.0%、0.4%.由2007年上海市碳流通图可见,15.6%的煤炭直接由终端使用,这不利于能源效率的提高与污染物的减排;成品油存在较多的交叉流通,若能够减少不必要的流通,不但能够缓解成品油的运输,还能够减少其在转运过程中的输配损失.     

Tailor-made scenario planning for local adaptation to climate change

This paper presents a tailor-made scenario approach for climate change adaptation planning, which emphasises involvement of stakeholders in the development of socioeconomic scenarios and relates to the planning situation and interest of the planning entity. The method was developed and tested in case studies in three different sectors in Sweden (the health sector, the tourism sector and water resource management). The result of the case studies is that the tailor-made scenario approach facilitated the engagement of the local planning body in climate change adaptation and helped them to analyse consequences and possible solutions in a structured way. However, the scenarios that emerged mainly focused on socioeconomic drivers on which the planning body had a large impact or drivers that can be influenced through cooperation with other actors at the local or regional level. While this result underlines the need for local stakeholder involvement in scenario processes, it also indicates a local bias that could be remedied by a stronger representation of national and global perspectives in the scenario development process. Finally, we discuss how a “bottom-up” approach could be combined with a “consistency” approach, which points towards a possible way forward to a hybrid methodology that is compatible with the scenario framework currently being developed in connection to the fifth assessment report of the IPCC.     

重污染天气下电力行业排放对京津冀地区PM2.5的贡献

利用CAMx(区域空气质量模型)中的PSAT(颗粒物源示踪技术),分析了重污染天气下分区域、分行业的污染物排放对京津冀地区PM_2.5的贡献,设计了分行业排放的环境影响效率系数(EESCR)计算方法,并对“电能替代”(以电力行业产能替代民用能源消耗)情景方案下的排放进行模拟分析. 结果表明:在重污染天气背景下,电力行业排放对京津冀地区ρ(PM_2.5)的贡献率较低,各地均低于10%,并且区域排放的贡献次序为京津冀以外地区>京津冀其他城市>当地,这与电力行业高架源排放的特征有关,而工业和民用行业对区域排放的贡献次序相反. PM_2.5主要组分和前体物的分行业EESCR计算结果表明,电力行业ESSCR值均在y=1/2x趋势线之下,远低于其他行业,因此优先控制其他行业排放才是改善京津冀地区空气质量的关键.电能替代的情景模拟结果表明,电能替代是有效降低京津冀地区ρ(PM_2.5)的可行方式. 研究显示,充分利用电力行业高架源排放的特点和便于集中处理的行业优势,尽力降低因产能增长带来的排放增量,实施电能替代可成为改善区域空气质量的有效途径之一.