西部大开发与内河水运可持续发展浅析

结合国家西部大开发的发展战略和西部生态环境特点，分析了西部内河水运可持续发展问题的特点，从建立健全环境管理体系、开展系统性的科研与教育工作、建立完善法规和标准体系等几个方面浅析了建立和完善内河水运可持续发展体系的必要性和关键内容。     

Analysis of Roadside Inhalable Particulate Matter (PM10) in Major Korean Cities

A data analysis of three major Korean cities was conducted to assess roadside inhalable particulate matter 10 μm or smaller in aerodynamic diameter (PM₁₀), including temporal and meteorological variations, over a recent period of 4 to 6 years. The yearly roadside PM₁₀ concentrations presented a well-defined increasing trend or no trend depending on the roadside monitoring station. Most mean values exceeded or approximated the Korean standard of 70 μg/m³ per year for PM₁₀. A representative roadside diurnal trend was characterized by a distinct morning maximum. In most cases, the Sunday roadside concentrations were similar to or somewhat lower than the weekday concentrations, and the PM₁₀ concentrations presented a well-defined seasonal variation, with the maximum concentration in March. The monthly maximum concentrations observed in March were most likely attributable to Asian dust storms. In two metropolitan cities (Seoul and Busan), the frequency of days with roadside PM₁₀ concentrations exceeding the standard of 150μg/m³ per 24 h was much lower for the roadside monitoring stations than for the residential monitoring station, whereas in the third city (Daegu), this result was reversed. Interestingly, the average maximum concentrations observed for the roadside sites in Seoul and Busan during March were higher than those for the residential sites, suggesting that the roadside concentrations responded more to the dust storms than the residential areas. The relationship between the pollutant concentrations and five important meteorological parameters (solar radiation, wind speed, air temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation) showed that the number and type of meteorological variables included in the equations varied according to the monitoring station or season. Finally, the current results confirmed that attention should be given to the PM₁₀ exposure of residents living near roadways.     

论泥炭纤维素碳同位素组成作为东亚季风强度变化代用指标的可行性:吉林3个临近发育的泥炭地泥炭剖面的横向比对

降雨量通常与东亚季风强度成正比,而植物纤维素碳同位素组成又与降雨量成反比,因此泥炭纤维素碳同位素比值通常作为东亚季风强度变化的代用指标。由于季风影响的广泛性和区域性,临近发育的泥炭地植物纤维素碳同位素序列应该高度相关。为了验证这种假设,我们系统比较了吉林3处泥炭地3个泥炭剖面苔草纤维素2000年来的碳同位素序列。14 C时标控制的3个序列不呈现有意义的相关关系。不同时段,如过去500年、1000年、1500年和2000年来序列的长期趋势也不相关,序列中包含的周期完全不同。这些事实说明3处剖面苔草纤维素碳同位素比值记录的是当地性的而不是区域性的气候或环境信号,将泥炭纤维素碳同位素比值作为东亚季风强度变化的代用指标的合理性值得怀疑。     

Distribution of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) and phenolic endocrine disrupting chemicals in South and Southeast Asian mussels

A comprehensive monitoring survey for polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and phenolic endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) utilizing mussels as sentinel organisms was conducted in South and Southeast Asia as a part of the Asian Mussel Watch project. Green mussel (Perna viridis) samples collected from a total of 48 locations in India, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, and the Philippines during 1994–1999 were analyzed for PAHs, EDCs including nonylphenol (NP), octylphenol (OP) and bisphenol A (BPA), and linear alkylbenzenes (LABs) as molecular markers for sewage. Concentrations of NP ranged from 18 to 643 ng/g-dry tissue. The highest levels of NP in Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, and Indonesia were comparable to those observed in Tokyo Bay. Elevated concentrations of EDCs were not observed in Vietnam and Cambodia, probably due to the lower extent of industrialization in these regions. No consistent relationship between concentrations of phenolic EDCs and LABs were found, suggesting that sewage is not a major source of EDCs. Concentrations of PAHs ranged from 11 to 1,133 ng/g-dry, which were categorized as “low to moderate” levels of pollution. The ratio of methylphenanthrenes to phenanthrene (MP/P ratio) was >1.0 in 20 out of 25 locations, indicating extensive input of petrogenic PAHs. This study provides a bench-mark for data on the distribution of anthropogenic contaminants in this region, which is essential in evaluating temporal and spatial variation and effect of future regulatory measures.     

FACTORS AFFECTING WATERWAY INVESTMENT DECISIONS1

ABSTRACT: There are many factors, other than economic efficiency, which must be considered in judging the merits of proposed investments in the inland navigation system. No satisfactory formula exists for deciding the net worth of public investments in water resources projects. Such a measure would not be accepted because these investments can serve conflicting goals. Political, rather than technical, judgments are required to resolve these goal conflicts.     

甘肃河西内陆河流域社会化水资源稀缺评价

水资源稀缺是我国经济社会发展所面临的严重制约因素。水资源稀缺评价是水资源管理中最基础性的工作。借助Karshenas模型对资源利用同经济发展之间的关系进行了诠释；在界定水资源管理阶段的基础上。引入社会适应性能力概念。着重论述了其内在结构及其度量指标。从而将水资源稀缺问题拓展到了社会经济领域。强调社会资源在水资源稀缺评价中的作用。同时。建立社会化水资源稀缺指数。并以甘肃省河西内陆河流域五市为例进行了实证研究．结果表明：嘉峪关市由于相对较高的社会适应性能力。其社会化水资源稀缺程度指数的相对排序得到改善；而武威市则因相对较低的社会适应性能力。社会化水资源稀缺指数的排序有所降低；金昌市和张掖市尽管社会化水资源稀缺指数的相对排序没有变化。但由于考虑了社会适应性能力。水资源稀缺程度得到有效的缓解。社会化水资源稀缺指数更能如实反映水资源状况。社会适应性能力是一种重要的资源。对缓解水资源紧缺程度具有重要的作用。     

2010年广州亚运会期间灰霾天气分析

使用广州地区气象资料,重点研究了 2010 年广州亚运会期间的灰霾天气特征. 结果发现,2010 年 11 月广州出现灰霾天气 5 d,较近年平均水平明显偏少,但 2008—2010 年的污染气象条件分析表明,2010 年的扩散条件较 2008 和 2009 年均较差,说明 2010 年广州亚运会前期的各项减排措施取得了明显成效. 作为对照,自 20 世纪 80 年代初开始,广州地区的能见度急剧恶化并导致灰霾天数增加,每年 10 月至次年 4 月的旱季灰霾天数较多,改革开放以来,每年 11 月份的灰霾天气大幅增加,并于 1994 和1999 年分别出现了最多的17 d. 2000 年以后,11 月份灰霾天气最多为 12 d,出现在 2005 年; 最少为 3 d,分别出现在 2002 和 2003 年. 广州市空气质量逐年恶化的趋势不容乐观,珠江三角洲复合型新型空气污染日趋严重的态势非常严峻; 且区域性特征明显,治理难度加大; 广州周边的佛山、清远、东莞、江门的灰霾天气都比广州多,对广州治理灰霾天气形成了压力. 因而 2010 年 11 月灰霾天气的明显减少,更说明区域联动、机动车单双号限行、重点工业污染源调控、严控垃圾秸秆焚烧等减排措施效果明显.     

The environmental impact of industrialization in East Asia and strategies toward sustainable development

The East Asian economy has been growing fast in recent years, and environmental stresses are building up rapidly. Transboundary air pollution, water shortages, drinking water contamination, freshwater and marine pollution, deforestation, climatic disasters, and other environmental problems are becoming serious threats to the well-being of people in this densely populated region. The ESI (environmental sustainability index) reported by the World Economic Forum in 2005 is a good indicator of the environmental status of the region; most East Asian countries ranked at the bottom. East Asia is not moving toward a sustainable society, and the environment will not sustain the current rate of economic development for long. The traditional culture of East Asia used to be sustainable, so we can learn much from our traditions. Land use should be planned from an ecological point of view so as to best preserve the land’s productivity and stability. There should be definite goals as to where and how much to preserve the three important ecological bases: forests, coastal wetlands and agricultural farms. The forest is the base for the terrestrial ecosystem, including flood control, water resources, and climate; the coastal wetland is the base for the marine ecosystem; farmland is the base for producing food. Within these defined goals, limits should be set on how much land can be utilized for activities like urban development, manufacturing, and recreation. Limits on the pollution load resulting from such activities should be set so as not to irreversibly damage the environment. Economic development should be planned to allow the use of energy and resources only after satisfying these constraints.

PMA-PP分析模型在内河水质科学评价中的应用

针对目前我国城市内河普遍遭到污染的问题,在分析影响内河水质因素的基础上,选取BOD5(五日生化需氧量)、CODcr(化学需氧量)、石油类、挥发酚、NH3-N(氨氮)、总磷等6个主要因素作为评价因子,建立了城市内河水质评价的投影寻踪分析模型,采用人口迁移算法对评价模型进行优化,并将该模型应用于南宁市10条内河水质的评价与排序。研究表明,用投影寻踪回归分析法进行水质评价,避免了传统评价方法由于主观原因造成的误差,评价结果合理可信、方法简单,为我国城市内河水质的评价提供了新途径。