Impact of Length of Dataset on Streamflow Calibration Parameters and Performance of APEX Model

Due to resource constraints, long‐term monitoring data for calibration and validation of hydrologic and water quality models are rare. As a result, most models are calibrated and, if possible, validated using limited measured data. However, little research has been done to determine the impact of length of available calibration data on model parameterization and performance. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of length of calibration data (LCD) on parameterization and performance of the Agricultural Policy Environmental eXtender model for predicting daily, monthly, and annual streamflow. Long‐term (1984‐2015) measured daily streamflow data from Rock Creek watershed, an agricultural watershed in northern Ohio, were used for this study. Data were divided into five Short (5‐year), two Medium (15‐year), and one Long (25‐year) streamflow calibration data scenarios. All LCD scenarios were calibrated and validated at three time steps: daily, monthly, and annual. Results showed LCD affected the ability of the model to accurately capture temporal variability in simulated streamflow. However, overall average streamflow, water budgets, and crop yields were simulated reasonably well for all LCD scenarios.     

Evaluation of Dynamically Dimensioned Search Algorithm for Optimizing SWAT by Altering Sampling Distributions and Searching Range

The primary advantage of Dynamically Dimensioned Search (DDS) algorithm is that it outperforms other optimization techniques in both convergence speed and searching ability for parameter sets that satisfy statistical guidelines while requiring only one algorithm parameter (perturbation factor) in the optimization process. Conventionally, a default value of 0.2 is used as the perturbation factor, where a normal distribution is applied with mean sampling distribution of zero and variance of one. However, the perturbation factor sensitivity to the performance of DDS for watershed modeling is still unknown. The fixed‐form sampling distribution may result in finding parameters at the local scale rather than global in the sampling space. In this study, the efficiency of DDS was evaluated by altering the perturbation factor (from 0.05 to 1.00) and the selection of sampling distribution (normal and uniform) on hydrologic and water quality predictions in a lowland agricultural watershed in Texas, United States. Results show that the use of altered perturbation factor may cause variations in convergence speed or the ability to find better solutions. In addition, DDS results were found to be very sensitive to sampling distribution selections, where DDS‐N (normal distribution) outperformed DDS‐U (uniform distribution) in all case scenarios. The choice of sampling distributions could be the potential major factor to be attributed for the performance of auto‐calibration techniques for watershed simulation models.     

增江流域非点源污染模拟研究

构建增江流域非点源污染数据库,包括DEM、土地利用,土壤类型,气象数据等,应用分布式流域水文模型SWAT(Soil andWater Assessment Tool,swat 2009版)对增江流域的非点源污染进行模拟。模型运行阶段为2000-2003年,分别应用2000-2001年和2002-2003年的实测月均流量及硝酸盐氮监测数据对模型的参数率定和验证,采用决定系数R2和Nash-Suttcliffe系数对模拟结果进行评定。其中水文模拟的R2均>0.9,Nash-Suttcliffe模型效率系数均>0.8;硝酸盐氮模拟的R2均>0.7,Nash-Suttcliffe模型效率系数均>0.6,表明SWAT模型在增江流域具有较好的适用性。     

一种基于游弋图像的水域监视鸟瞰图成像系统

针对各类水域污染日趋严重而传统水质监测方式离散、范围受限等不足,构建了基于游弋图像的水域鸟瞰图成像系统,实现大范围实时、连续监控。使用偏振设备消除水面反光,得到清晰的水面图像。设计了摄像机内外参标定的方法,在线获得状态参数;提出了自适应空洞填补的策略,消除了由透视图映射至鸟瞰图时产生的图像空洞;结合GPS信息和图像特征配准技术,获取了由船载摄像机视频序列拼合成的鸟瞰全景图像。该方法具有分辨率高、实时性强、监测范围广和使用成本低等优势。     

Multi N/C2100S总有机碳分析仪校准方法的建立

以德国Analytikjena公司Multi N/C 2100S分析仪为例,研究建立了合理可行的总有机碳分析仪校准方法.在总有机碳分析仪检定规程JJG 821-2005的基础上,增加零点漂移、直线性、标准曲线线性和检出限4项特性指标,改变了准确性特性的判定方法.根据仪器的使用频率和稳定性,建议校准周期不超过2年.     

基于毫米波的海上目标RCS测量标定分析

目的提高靶场毫米波海上目标RCS测量标定精度。方法针对海上目标的外场雷达目标特性(Radar Cross Section,RCS)测量系统动态标定问题,在给出了无源相对标校法的基础上,对毫米波RCS测量系统标定过程中云雾杂波、大气衰减、海面及地面杂波的影响进行详细分析。结果结合靶场外场实际测量,提出了衰减修正、合理选择标校气象条件等相应减小标定误差的措施。结论基于毫米波海上目标RCS测量标定的分析及其措施可极大地减小毫米波外场海面测量标校中气象环境、海面或地面杂波等对系统标定的影响,提高系统标定精度。     

一种气溶胶测量仪器标定系统的设计及性能评估

对气溶胶测量仪器进行准确标定是保证大气环境及污染源颗粒物测量数据质量的重要前提.本研究搭建了一套多分散在线标定气溶胶测量仪器的系统,该系统采用超声气溶胶发生装置产生多分散颗粒物,并用空气动力学粒径谱仪对颗粒物粒径分布进行测量.评测结果表明该系统干燥腔室内气溶胶稳定、均匀,且符合对数正态分布.以采样器为例,已有研究多使用单分散离线标定方法对采样器切割性能进行标定,该方法操作繁琐、实验周期长.利用多分散在线标定系统对PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)双级虚拟撞击采样器进行标定,并与单分散离线标定方法进行了对比,两套系统的标定结果呈现较好的一致性,但多分散在线方法大大缩短了标定实验周期.     

基于风险的报警优先级量化设定方法研究

当前主流报警优先级设定方法操作性不佳，在进行装置报警系统优化时由于考虑维度少而无法较好优化报警系统优先级，针对该问题，建立了基于风险的报警优先级设定新方法。将标定的风险图法应用于报警优先级设定，假定某报警不存在，对出现危险情况的频率、后果严重度、可用时间、避免事故后果的可能性等进行标定，并对危险状况出现频率与可用时间进行矩阵分析，将结果运用于风险图中；针对某柴油加氢装置报警系统，应用该方法进行了报警优先级优化。结果表明:基于风险的报警优先级量化设定方法能够有效应用于优化装置报警优先级；经该方法优化的各级报警，数量分布更接近EEMUA的推荐值；对于“在所考虑的报警不存在时每年发生事故的次数”因素，研究给出3个不同的档次供企业选择，实践中，企业可结合自身可接受标准，作进一步完善。     

Process-based calibration of WRF-Hydro in a mountainous basin in southwestern U.S.

The National Water Model (NWM) will provide the next generation of operational streamflow forecasts across the United States (U.S.) using the WRF-Hydro hydrologic model. In this study, we propose a strategy to calibrate 10 parameters of WRF-Hydro that control runoff generation during floods and snowmelt seasons, and due to baseflow. We focus on the Oak Creek Basin (820 km²), an unregulated mountainous sub-watershed of the Salt and Verde River Basins in Arizona, which are the largest source of water supply for the Phoenix Metropolitan area. We calibrate the model against discharge observations at the outlet in 2008–2011, and validate it at two stream gauging stations in 2012–2016. After bias correcting the precipitation forcings, we sequentially modify the model parameters controlling distinct runoff generation processes in the basin. We find that capturing the deep drainage to the aquifer is crucial to improve the simulation of all processes and that this flux is mainly controlled by the SLOPE parameter. Performance metrics indicate that snowmelt, baseflow, and floods due to winter storms are simulated fairly well, while flood peaks caused by summer thunderstorms are severely underestimated. We suggest the use of spatially variable soil depth to enhance the simulation of these processes. This work supports the ongoing calibration effort of the NWM by testing WRF-Hydro in a watershed with a large variety of runoff mechanisms that are representative of several basins in the southwestern U.S.     

臭氧监测仪实验室校准及稳定性测试

以国内监测系统在用的臭氧校准仪为二级传递标准对臭氧监测仪开展了实验室校准,通过计算单次校准所得校准曲线的斜率和截距,符合中国相关标准中关于臭氧监测仪的校准指标:多点校准所得校准曲线的斜率为0.95~1.05,截距为-5~5 nmol/mol。进一步对2台臭氧监测仪进行了稳定性测试,12个月内臭氧监测仪的斜率变化为0.976 05~1.008 42,截距变化为-0.669 00~0.577 93 nmol/mol,臭氧监测仪的斜率、截距均符合臭氧监测仪校准指标的要求。稳定性测试表明,TF 49i型臭氧监测仪和EC 9810型臭氧监测仪经校准后均可用于实验室内臭氧标准传递比对工作。实验中臭氧监测仪更换臭氧涤除器、仪器零件后校准曲线的斜率均有明显变化,建议更换耗材后需采用高浓度臭氧对臭氧监测仪进行饱和并再次校准。