典型学生人群对疏散指示反应特性的初步研究

本文针对典型学生人群对疏散指示的反应特性开展了初步的实验，分析了试验者给出的能见度主观评价（主观能见度）的统计结果，得出了影响主观能见度的因素：疏散指示的亮度、大小和颜色。与统计实验同步使用固定增益、自动光圈、手动调焦的CCD摄像机获取了距疏散指示不同距离的场景，结合图像处理的方法实验获得了疏散指示的亮度、对比度信息。基于此，并考虑疏散指示大小和颜色对能见度的影响，提出了一种主观能见度评价的心理模型，较好地符合了统计实验结果，可以用来评价疏散指示主观能见度。     

2005年-2008年亚洲东部沙尘暴的定期数字记录监测

地处亚洲东部的中国长春,蒙古乌兰巴托和日本鹿儿岛,作为亚洲沙尘暴的地面监测站点,用数码相机全自动定时拍摄记录天空的数字照片,通过分析数字照片数据上像素点的信息和建筑的能见度,来判断沙尘暴事件的发生及强度。对比分析了2005年-2008年冬春季节数字监测数据与NOAA,MT-SAT和Terra,Aqua/MOD IS的卫星遥感图片以及其他相关沙尘天气的报道。在监测的图片数据上,持续1-2天的强沙尘暴天气能够被清楚的识别,轻度的沙尘天气与云量较多的天气较难区别。     

上海市大气散射消光特征及其与颗粒物化学组成关系研究

为研究上海市大气颗粒物散射系数分布特征以及颗粒物化学组分贡献率,2009年用浊度仪对散射系数进行观测,同时采集PM2.5,分析其主要化学成分浓度.观测发现,秋、冬季散射系数较高,夏季最小.散射系数日变化有早、晚两个峰,午间出现低谷.散射系数与温度、风速有显著负相关性.多元回归得到OC、NO-3、NH+4是影响消光系数的主要化学成分.依据IMPROVE估算公式,将OC分为吸湿性和非吸湿性部分,并加入海盐影响,使估算bext值更接近监测值.OC、EC和硫酸铵盐为估算消光系数主要贡献成分.     

Pre-evacuation path planning in chemicals-concentrated areas with risk assessment and individual character analysis

With the ever-increasing development of those chemical parks (concentrated areas), the inherent hazards may remain the major leading cause of serious casualties, causing dramatic increases in deaths and injuries. Despite this, proper path beforehand can effectively minimise the number of deaths or injured. In this study, in order to better address the aforesaid issue, the pre-evacuation path planning was adopted to do so. This method can serve to prepare emergency response in case of extreme events, such as fires, explosions, or dangerous leakages, because these accidents could happen in chemical parks (concentrated areas). To that end, a framework was therefore proposed. First, the general risk representation was conducted. After the main hazards as well as the vulnerability within the facilities was identified, the interaction between those two factors could be expressed with matrices. This was followed by the analysis of the domino effect, which tends to occur under such circumstances. Second, individuals' visibility and inclination at each location to choose the nearest exit gate or shelter zone were analyzed by space syntax analysis. Third, a weighted risk map mainly composed of risk, individual's visibility, and inclination of exits was therefore generated. And the lowest cumulative risk path was simulated and analyzed accordingly. Finally, the map modified with received risks suggests that each individual's safest route from their current locations can be possibly simulated with Dijkstra's algorithm, which corresponds to the lowest cumulative risk. For the purposes of illustration and validation, a real case was adopted. The results demonstrated that this framework could provide both technical and theoretical support for the pre-evacuation path planning in chemicals-concentrated areas like chemicals-concentrated areas.     

Simultaneous Measurements of Atmospheric Pollutants and Visibility with a Long-Path DOAS System in Urban Areas

In this paper, the applicability of a Long-Path Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (LP-DOAS) system was checked for the feasibility of the simultaneous measurement of trace gases (such as O₃, NO₂, SO₂, and HCHO) and atmospheric visibility (light extinction by aerosols) in Asian urban areas. Field studies show that an LP-DOAS system can simultaneously measure the key pollutants (such as O₃, NO₂, SO₂, and HCHO) at detection limits in the ppb/sub-ppb range as well as the Mie extinction coefficient with an uncertainty of 0.1 km^–1 at time resolution of a few minutes. It is thus concluded that the use of LP-DOAS system is feasible for simultaneous measurement of gaseous pollutants as well as an atmospheric extinction coefficient which is tightly bound to fine particulate concentration.     

能见度分级约束下的大气气溶胶光学厚度特征

利用ＰＩＳ太阳光谱仪观测了北京地区１９９３年３月—１９９５年３月晴天和少云天气的太阳直接辐射光谱，波长范围为０．４０－１．０４μｍ。光谱分辨率１．２５ｎｍ，共有１０６４组数据。观测期间，将地面能见度分为五级。由太阳直射谱获得了各能见度下大气气溶胶光学厚度谱。研究表明，北京地区大气气溶胶光学厚度虽然其总体季节统计规律为春夏大，秋冬小，然而，当加入能见度分级约束后，各能见度下气溶胶光学厚度的季节变化，近于消失。这表明少数“反常”垂直结构不影响能见度分级的平均结果。而不分级的光学厚度季节起伏主要由各季节的几率能见度决定。文中还把年平均五种能见度下的光谱光学厚度与ＬＯＷＴＲＡＮ模式作了对比。由光学厚度谱反演出了气溶胶粒子谱分布，为建立我国北方局地气溶胶模式构造了基本框架     

香港大气能见度与污染物长期变化的特征和相互关系

利用香港天文台40年(1968~2007年)的能见度数据,中西区空气监测站24年(1984~2007年)的空气质量数据,采用多元回归法,分析了香港地区大气环境状况与大气污染物变化的关系.结果表明,香港地区1968~2007年间低能见度时数百分比平均每10年上升3.1%,其中,其上升趋势在1968~1989年较为平缓(平均0.7%/10a),20世纪90年代后(1990~2007年)则较为明显(平均7.3%/10a),且与地面臭氧浓度呈同步上升趋势.1993年前,低能见度时数百分比与NO2和NOx相关性显著,1993年后,与其相关性显著的污染物则是O3、SO2和NO2.这说明香港地区能见度的恶化在1993年前与光化学烟雾有关,但在1993年后则同时受光化学烟雾和与硫酸盐粒子有关的气溶胶烟雾的共同影响.     

交通来源颗粒物粒径谱分布及其与能见度关系

对谭裕沟隧道内颗粒物的浓度谱进行了分析,研究了交通来源颗粒物的粒径浓度谱分布特征,并且探讨了不同粒径颗粒物对能见度的影响.结果表明,细粒子的污染比较严重,是影响能见度的主要因素.      

青岛大气颗粒物数浓度变化及对能见度的影响

为研究青岛地面大气颗粒物数浓度的变化及对能见度的影响,2010年9月~2011年8月使用便携式light house激光粒子计数器进行了大气颗粒物数浓度观测,利用Hysplit模式计算大气颗粒物的后向轨迹,运用统计分析方法初步探讨了气象因子对大气颗粒物数浓度和能见度的影响.结果表明,青岛大气颗粒物数浓度冬春最高,秋季次之,夏季最低;源自新疆、甘肃一带的气团颗粒物数浓度偏高,而来自于东北方向及海上的大气颗粒物数浓度较低;大气颗粒物数浓度变化与风速、相对湿度和混合层高度的变化呈现较好的负相关关系.当气团来源于西或西北方向,地面风向为南到东南风且混合层高度较低时,细粒子数浓度较高,容易出现低能见度现象.     

沙尘天气发生频率对大气能见度方差的影响研究:以北京及其沙尘过往路径典型站点为例

利用1971～2000年北京及其沙尘过往路径典型站点日能见度和各种沙尘天气发生日资料,分析了沙尘天气发生频率与能见度方差的关系.发现当沙尘天气频率减少(增加)1次时,能见度方差就偏强(偏弱)1个标准差.沙尘天气发生频率对日能见度变率的影响主要是通过风速的高频变率实现的,当风速变率偏强(偏弱)1个标准差时,沙尘天气发生频率增强(减弱)约30%,近地面风场的高频变率影响了沙尘天气的产生,从而影响日能见度方差的波动.异常低能见度事件(日能见度距平<-2σ,σ为各站各日能见度距平的标准差)频次与能见度方差之间存在显著的正相关性.风速距平频次增加,使得沙尘天气发生频次增加,从而导致低能见度事件频次上升;反之,异常低能见度事件下降.浮尘、沙尘暴和扬沙与低能见度事件的相关程度是不同的.